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Georgia Tech playoff odds
Georgia Tech makes the College Football Playoff in <0.1% of 2.5 million simulated 2026 seasons. Loading the week 11 guide…
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Georgia Tech playoff odds and who to root for
Updated November 8, after week 9.
Georgia Tech is 2-7 (1-5 in the ACC) through week 9 of the 2026 season. It makes the College Football Playoff in <0.1% of 2.5 million simulated seasons (ESPN's FPI: <0.1%), wins the ACC in <0.1% and wins the national title in <0.01%, with 2.3 projected wins.
That is the 84th-best playoff chance among the 138 FBS teams.
Who Georgia Tech fans should root for in week 11
No other game this week has a significant effect on Georgia Tech's playoff odds.
What Georgia Tech needs
Even at 5-7, Georgia Tech makes the playoff in <0.1% of seasons.
| Week | Opponent | Win probability | Playoff odds after a win | After a loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 11 | at Clemson | 17.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Week 12 | vs Wake Forest | 10.5% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Week 13 | at Georgia | 1.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
Georgia Tech's playoff odds by final record
| Regular season | Chance of that record | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | 2.6% | <0.1% |
| 3-9 | 23.3% | <0.1% |
| 2-10 | 74.0% | <0.1% |
Georgia Tech's results
week 1, lost to Colorado 13-14; week 2, lost to Tennessee 24-45; week 3, beat Mercer 44-11; week 4, lost to Stanford 27-34; week 6, beat Duke 28-25; week 7, lost to Virginia Tech 24-34; week 8, lost to Boston College 27-49; week 9, lost to Pittsburgh 11-34; week 10, lost to Louisville 17-44.
The ACC race
| Team | Wins the ACC | Makes the playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Miami | 70.6% | 96.1% |
| Wake Forest | 19.9% | 43.1% |
| Louisville | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| SMU | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| Duke | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Clemson | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| North Carolina | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Pittsburgh | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Boston College | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| California | <0.1% | <0.1% |
The ACC title race: every team, the likeliest title games and how ties are broken.
Questions
- Will Georgia Tech make the College Football Playoff?
- Georgia Tech is 2-7 and makes the playoff in <0.1% of 2.5 million simulated seasons, with 2.3 projected wins. It wins the ACC in <0.1% and the national title in <0.01%.
- What does Georgia Tech need to make the playoff?
- Even at 5-7, Georgia Tech makes the playoff in <0.1% of seasons.
- Who should Georgia Tech fans root for in week 11?
- No other game this week has a significant effect on Georgia Tech's playoff odds.
- What is Georgia Tech's toughest game left?
- At Georgia in week 13, with a 1.1% chance to win.
- How are Georgia Tech's playoff odds calculated?
- The rest of the season is simulated 2.5 million times. Each simulated season is rated, ranked by a model of the selection committee and played through the bracket. A game's impact is the difference in Georgia Tech's playoff odds between the simulations each team wins it.